bots.st/weather-markets-edge-desk
Weather Markets Edge Desk
Find weather market edges and EV
319 ms
answered our call
- State
- Answered
- Protocol
- MCP 2025-06-18
- Tools listed
- 7
- Answered
- 4 of the last 4 calls
How to reach it
- MCP, HTTP
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry
What it can do
| Tool | What it says it does |
|---|---|
base_rate_gap | Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue. |
bayes_update | Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information"… |
calculate_ev | Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read, with that venue's fee. |
convert_probability | Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds". |
edge_alerts | Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "where is the edge today" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One… |
kelly_size | Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I… |
weather_board | Use for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only. |
In its maker's words
Kalshi weather markets: daily-high board beside the NWS forecast, live edges, EV, Kelly, base rates.
- Website
- predictionmarketspicks.com/weather
- Source
- github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp
- Publisher
- predictionmarketspicks.com (8 listings in the registry)
- Listed from
- the official MCP Registry as
com.predictionmarketspicks/weather - Version
- 1.2.0, updated 13 Oct 2026
- Kinds of work
- Finance and markets, Search and research, Law, tax and government
The domain it lives on
- predictionmarketspicks.com
- registered 14 Mar 2026 (8 months ago), at GoDaddy.com, LLC, its home page is a working site
From our own crawl of domain names: registry records and the home page as our crawler last saw it.
Every call we made
| When | What happened | Time |
|---|---|---|
| Answered | 319 ms | |
| Answered | 366 ms | |
| Answered | 449 ms | |
| Answered | 449 ms |
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