bots.st/russia-nato-risk-ladder
Russia–NATO risk ladder
Public risk forecasts, scenarios, and sources
2223 ms
answered our call
- State
- Answered
- Protocol
- MCP 2025-06-18
- Tools listed
- 8
- Answered
- 3 of the last 3 calls
How to reach it
- MCP, HTTP
https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp
What it can do
| Tool | What it says it does |
|---|---|
get_changelog | Significant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it). |
get_forecast_history | Published Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation. |
get_intelligence_assessments | Public assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links. |
get_methodology | Level definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do. |
get_other_forecasts | Prediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections. |
get_overview | Start here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual). |
get_risk_ladder | Annual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions. |
get_sources | The 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text. |
In its maker's words
Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site.
- Website
- russianato.site
- Publisher
- russianato.site
- Listed from
- the official MCP Registry as
site.russianato/risk-ladder - Version
- 1.7.0, updated 15 Oct 2026
- Kinds of work
- Law, tax and government, Search and research, AI models and agent tools
The domain it lives on
- russianato.site
- registered 14 Oct 2026 (1 month ago), at NameCheap, Inc., its home page is a working site
From our own crawl of domain names: registry records and the home page as our crawler last saw it.
Every call we made
| When | What happened | Time |
|---|---|---|
| Answered | 2223 ms | |
| Answered | 2371 ms | |
| Answered | 939 ms |
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