bots.st/macro-commodities-desk
Macro & Commodities Desk
Commodities and macro market edges plus Kelly sizing
305 ms
answered our call
- State
- Answered
- Protocol
- MCP 2025-06-18
- Tools listed
- 10
- Answered
- 4 of the last 4 calls
How to reach it
- MCP, HTTP
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-commodities/mcp?via=registry
What it can do
| Tool | What it says it does |
|---|---|
base_rate_gap | Use for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue. |
calculate_ev | Use for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read, with that venue's fee. |
commodity_edge | Use for "gold edge today" and "oil or bitcoin trade signal". The Kalshi daily gold, silver or WTI strike, or hourly bitcoin strike, with the largest PMP model edge, as a ticket: side, entry price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge, tier and quarter-Kelly size. Pass tickers[] to check a… |
convert_probability | Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds". |
fed_rate_odds | Use for "will the Fed cut, hold or hike" and "next FOMC meeting odds". Live Kalshi odds for each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting: the next meeting's full strike breakdown and days-until, the rate path, the current fed funds rate, and a next-meeting cross-venue check against Polymarket and CME futures… |
fifteen_min_board | Use for "what is the ETH 15-minute market doing" and "which Kalshi 15-minute markets are open". Every Kalshi 15-minute up-or-down series (crypto, metals, energy, FX): window status, YES price, close time, target, settlement source and the up rate over the last 96 windows; the same window on… |
kelly_size | Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a Kalshi, Polymarket US or Novig contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I… |
market_pulse | The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). Returns the composite, the regime call and 2 category scores without an account, 4 to a signed-in account, and all six with Pro. Use for "how is the US economy"… |
perp_liquidation | Use for "where does a 5x bitcoin long liquidate on Kalshi". Estimates a Kalshi perp's liquidation price and the % move to it from Kalshi's risk parameters (a 5x BTC long is about 8% away, not the 20% the 100÷leverage rule implies), plus fees and expected funding. An estimate; Kalshi's app shows… |
perps_board | Use for "Kalshi perps funding rate" and "how much leverage on Kalshi gold perps". Every Kalshi perpetual future: price, 24h volume, open interest, max leverage long and short, funding cadence, and what funding has cost a long since launch. Pass asset ("btc", "gold") for one. |
In its maker's words
Kalshi macro: Fed rate odds, gold, silver, oil and bitcoin edges, 15-min markets, Kelly sizing.
- Website
- predictionmarketspicks.com/commodity-markets
- Source
- github.com/predictionmarketspicks/mcp
- Publisher
- predictionmarketspicks.com (8 listings in the registry)
- Listed from
- the official MCP Registry as
com.predictionmarketspicks/commodities - Version
- 1.2.0, updated 13 Oct 2026
- Kinds of work
- Finance and markets, Crypto and web3, Search and research
The domain it lives on
- predictionmarketspicks.com
- registered 14 Mar 2026 (8 months ago), at GoDaddy.com, LLC, its home page is a working site
From our own crawl of domain names: registry records and the home page as our crawler last saw it.
Every call we made
| When | What happened | Time |
|---|---|---|
| Answered | 305 ms | |
| Answered | 369 ms | |
| Answered | 417 ms | |
| Answered | 417 ms |
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